Venezuela 2026 — Oil Sector Control, Sanctions Dynamics, and Stability Pathways

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OGN-MXD₁ (Venezuela) is an institutional coherence-engineering assessment produced by applying the MXD-COGN analytical engine to the Venezuela URC. The report compiles Venezuela-specific modules on sanctions dynamics, oil-sector control and interdiction (including tanker seizure patterns), external–internal coupling signals, elite coherence/fragmentation stressors, civilian welfare implications, and stability/escalation pathway families. A Phase II extension integrates local game-theoretic primitives (commitments, signaling, equilibrium families) into the MXD-COGN interface-first workflow. This publication is strictly analytical and non-prescriptive: it does not advocate political action or policy outcomes, and is designed for strategic research, institutional monitoring, and scenario conditioning under contested information.

What’s inside (bullets):

  • Venezuela module pack: sanctions, oil interdiction, coupling signals, elite coherence, welfare, pathways

  • Phase II: game-theoretic overlay integrated with MXD-COGN interfaces

  • Institutional watchlist: high-signal indicators for update cycles

  • Glossary: players, symbols, interface brittleness κ, and product architecture

Format: PDF (institutional master)
Publisher: Maxdi Global Strategic Stability Studies Group (MGSSSG)
Series: COGN-MXD products (MXD-COGN engine outputs)

OGN-MXD₁ (Venezuela) is an institutional coherence-engineering assessment produced by applying the MXD-COGN analytical engine to the Venezuela URC. The report compiles Venezuela-specific modules on sanctions dynamics, oil-sector control and interdiction (including tanker seizure patterns), external–internal coupling signals, elite coherence/fragmentation stressors, civilian welfare implications, and stability/escalation pathway families. A Phase II extension integrates local game-theoretic primitives (commitments, signaling, equilibrium families) into the MXD-COGN interface-first workflow. This publication is strictly analytical and non-prescriptive: it does not advocate political action or policy outcomes, and is designed for strategic research, institutional monitoring, and scenario conditioning under contested information.

What’s inside (bullets):

  • Venezuela module pack: sanctions, oil interdiction, coupling signals, elite coherence, welfare, pathways

  • Phase II: game-theoretic overlay integrated with MXD-COGN interfaces

  • Institutional watchlist: high-signal indicators for update cycles

  • Glossary: players, symbols, interface brittleness κ, and product architecture

Format: PDF (institutional master)
Publisher: Maxdi Global Strategic Stability Studies Group (MGSSSG)
Series: COGN-MXD products (MXD-COGN engine outputs)